Edge Board

Our calibrated fair line vs. every book we track. Rows in the validated 5–12% disagreement band (ATP, odds 2.0–3.0) carry the “Filter match” badge — the only edge claim we make, scoped to a 2019–2024 walk-forward vs. recreational books; a pre-registered extension to 2015–2021 was negative, so the live forward record is the real test. Larger gaps are shown as caution, not conviction. Methodology.

Board built 2026-10-24 13:46 UTC

No qualifying mispricings today.

Not betting is a position. The filter only fires when a recreational book disagrees with the fair line by 5–12% — most days, no line qualifies, and we say so rather than stretch.

Today's free featured match

Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino
ATP · ATP Vienna, Austria Men Singles

Hard · 2026-10-24 16:00 UTC

Our P (Thiago Agustin Tirante)
62.1%
Pinnacle fair P
60.9%
Best rec price
bet365 1.69
Edge
2.9%

Read the full match report — free →

The rest of today's board

Full board opens later this summer — today's free featured match is above.

MatchSurfaceTime
Locked — members only
ATP Vienna, Austria Men Singles
Hard2026-10-24 13:50 UTC
Locked — members only
ATP Basel, Switzerland Men Singles
Hard2026-10-24 13:50 UTC
Locked — members only
ATP Brussels, Belgium Singles
Hard2026-10-24 14:00 UTC
Locked — members only
ATP Lyon, France Men Singles
Clay2026-10-24 14:00 UTC
Locked — members only
ATP Vienna, Austria Men Singles
Hard2026-10-24 14:40 UTC
Locked — members only
ATP Basel, Switzerland Men Singles
Hard2026-10-24 14:55 UTC
Locked — members only
ATP Brussels, Belgium Singles
Hard2026-10-24 16:30 UTC
Locked — members only
WTA Tokyo, Japan Women Singles
Hard2026-10-25 01:00 UTC
Locked — members only
WTA Tokyo, Japan Women Singles
Hard2026-10-25 01:15 UTC
Locked — members only
WTA Guangzhou, China Women Singles
Hard2026-10-25 02:00 UTC
Locked — members only
WTA Osaka, Japan Women Singles
Hard2026-10-25 04:30 UTC
Locked — members only
WTA Ningbo, China Women Singles
Hard2026-10-25 09:00 UTC

Tournament, surface and start time are real; everything blurred is a placeholder — members' numbers never leave the server for free visitors, so there's nothing under the blur to inspect.

We don't beat Pinnacle — nobody reliably does. We find the books that disagree with it, and we grade every pick against the close, publicly — the receipts, including what we got wrong. Not betting or financial advice. 21+ where legal. About Baseline.